Production is still increasing. Every major drop was never straight down so this run-up lately will be short lived. 1600 natural gas rigs in 2008, now 300, and production is still higher. 1600 oil rigs last year, now 1000, and production is still increasing. It seems like a no brainer. I was going to go long oil at $40, but now I can't go long until $35 for the 9 month contract which means the near term contract must hit about $28.